Economic Performance/Indicators

The threat of runaway inflation is still relevant

The threat of runaway inflation is still relevant

Illustration by Risto Avramovski Text size About the Author: Pierre Cramer is Senior Managing Director and Senior Portfolio Manager, Insurance Asset Management at SLC management. This comment reflects his personal opinions. The trajectory of risky assets in 2023 depends on how far the Federal Reserve is willing to go with its interest rate hikes to …

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Why stock investors shouldn't count on a "Santa Claus" rally this year

Why stock investors shouldn’t count on a “Santa Claus” rally this year

Investors, like children on Christmas Eve, expect Santa Claus to come down the chimney, walk to Wall Street and deliver the rewarding gift of a stock market rally. This year, however, investors might be better off betting on a lump of coal, rather than waiting for tangible stock market gains to emerge this holiday season, …

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Financial markets are issuing a warning that a recession is imminent: here's what it means for equities

Financial markets are issuing a warning that a recession is imminent: here’s what it means for equities

Across markets, familiar trading patterns for stocks, bonds and commodities that have held for months are starting to unravel as financial markets grapple with expectations that the US economy will sink. into a recession next year, market analysts told MarketWatch. The S&P 500 SPX index, +0.75% had its longest losing streak in nearly two months …

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The U.S. economy won't collapse under the "weight" of the Fed based on how these sectors perform despite inflation and oil risks

The U.S. economy won’t collapse under the “weight” of the Fed based on how these sectors perform despite inflation and oil risks

Investors are trying to read the tea leaves on a choppy U.S. stock market to gauge whether its recent rise can continue after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell sparked bullish sentiment in late November by indicating that his aggressive stock hikes interest rates could slow. “Stock market management is telling you that the economy is …

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Consumers are starting to act as if recession is imminent

Consumers are starting to act as if recession is imminent

Text size Consumer dissatisfaction is worse among households earning less than $50,000 a year, writes Dana M. Peterson. Frederic J. Brown/AFP/Getty Images About the Author: Dana M. Peterson is chief economist at the Conference Board. Consumers sense that a recession is imminent and are beginning to behave accordingly. They become more and more unhappy by …

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Opinion: High debts and stagflation will bring the mother of all financial crises

Opinion: High debts and stagflation will bring the mother of all financial crises

NEW YORK (Project Syndicate) – The global economy is heading for an unprecedented confluence of economic, financial and debt crises, following the explosion of deficits, borrowing and debt over the past few decades. In the private sector, the mountain of debt includes that of households (such as mortgages, credit cards, car loans, student loans, personal …

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Stocks rally on hopes of relief from China's COVID policy.  Here's why economists think investors are too optimistic.

Stocks rally on hopes of relief from China’s COVID policy. Here’s why economists think investors are too optimistic.

Investors rejoiced over China’s latest COVID policy this week after massive lockdown protests erupted across the country, rocking global financial markets, but economists believe markets have placed “too much great likelihood” that the restrictions will soon be eased. China’s National Health Commission said on Tuesday it would step up COVID vaccinations for the elderly and …

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Even JPMorgan bullish strategist Kolanovic says the markets are getting ahead of themselves.  Here's what he and a Goldman strategist say do now.

Even JPMorgan bullish strategist Kolanovic says the markets are getting ahead of themselves. Here’s what he and a Goldman strategist say do now.

A bullish day is looming for equities after more upbeat inflation news as producer prices fell more than expected. That’s when the clock ticks down to Wednesday’s retail sales report. But while some investors cling to hope that last week’s stock run started with last week’s weaker CPI inflation report, Wall Street remains wary, with …

Even JPMorgan bullish strategist Kolanovic says the markets are getting ahead of themselves. Here’s what he and a Goldman strategist say do now. Read More »